CrimeMetric

Crime in Vista, California

Major crime in Vista is 33% below the U.S. rate per resident: 7% higher for persons crimes and 42% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are up 39.8% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
67
33% below the U.S. rate
44% below the California rate
up 39.8% in a year
Persons crimes
107
7% above the U.S. rate
20% below the California rate
up 43.7% in a year
Property crimes
58
42% below the U.S. rate
50% below the California rate
up 38.3% in a year
Social disorder
146
46% above the U.S. rate
44% above the California rate
up 86.7% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Drugs and alcohol stands out most, at 2.8 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Vista for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Vista

The middle half of Vista residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 39 and 78; the typical (median) resident's is 50. The citywide figure (67) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Vista, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5045.3%
  • 50–10040.7%
  • 100–20011.3%
  • 200–4002.7%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm60
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am74
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm62
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am77
Trend and outlook

Major crime rose 39.8% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime+39.8%CA -7.4%-13.9%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes+43.7%CA -3.5%-5.4%CA -6.1%
Property crimes+38.3%CA -8.4%-17.3%CA -16.1%
Social disorder+86.7%CA -4.9%-11.2%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Vista against U.S. places with 100,000 to 250,000 residents

217 of the 268 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Vista; the middle of the group is 109. The 9 nearest in population:

Inglewood, CA100,926224
Davenport, IA100,584186
Avondale, AZ101,323121
Kirkland, WA101,55479
Edmond, OK100,83675
Temple, TX100,42069
Vista, CA101,05467

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Vista has a higher major-crime index than 5 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Oceanside (4 mi), is 1.5 times Vista's rate.

Oceanside4 mi102
Escondido11 mi96
Carlsbad6 mi68
Vista67
Encinitas10 mi60
Bonsall6 mi30

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Vista

What are the most common crimes in Vista?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are aggravated assault (about 276 a year), theft from vehicle (about 255 a year) and other larceny (about 190 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 2.8 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Vista's figures add up its 56 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Vista's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 62.1% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 101,054. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Vista, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/vista

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100