Crime in Carlsbad, California
Major crime in Carlsbad is 32% below the U.S. rate per resident: 27% lower for persons crimes and 33% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 20.0% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Every crime type in Carlsbad is near or below the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Carlsbad for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Carlsbad
The middle half of Carlsbad residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 18 and 53; the typical (median) resident's is 28. The citywide figure (68) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5072.8%
- 50–10015.0%
- 100–2006.4%
- 200–4004.3%
- 400+1.6%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weekend daytimes
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 20.0% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%
Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Carlsbad against U.S. places with 100,000 to 250,000 residents
216 of the 268 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Carlsbad; the middle of the group is 109. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Carlsbad has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Lake San Marcos (5 mi), is 58% below Carlsbad's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Carlsbad
What are the most common crimes in Carlsbad?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 466 a year), shoplifting (about 219 a year) and aggravated assault (about 207 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: about the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Carlsbad's figures add up its 70 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Carlsbad's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- 25.1% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 109,800. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Carlsbad, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/carlsbad
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Lake San Marcos5 mi29
- Encinitas5 mi60
- Vista6 mi67
- San Marcos7 mi47
- Oceanside7 mi102
- Rancho Santa Fe8 mi39
- Solana Beach9 mi61
- Del Mar11 mi67