CrimeMetric

Crime in Willits, California

Major crime in Willits is 55% below the U.S. rate per resident: 46% higher for persons crimes and 77% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 6.5% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
46
55% below the U.S. rate
62% below the California rate
down 6.5% in a year
Persons crimes
146
46% above the U.S. rate
9% above the California rate
down 3.9% in a year
Property crimes
23
77% below the U.S. rate
80% below the California rate
down 9.7% in a year
Social disorder
133
33% above the U.S. rate
31% above the California rate
down 7.6% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Willits

Crime by type

Drugs and alcohol stands out most, at 3.9 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Willits for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Willits

The middle half of Willits residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 21 and 51; the typical (median) resident's is 35. The citywide figure (46) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Willits, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5067.6%
  • 50–10032.4%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekend daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm44
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am47
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm49
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am45
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 6.5% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-6.5%CA -7.4%-11.3%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes-3.9%CA -3.5%-5.9%CA -6.1%
Property crimes-9.7%CA -8.4%-18.7%CA -16.1%
Social disorder-7.6%CA -4.9%-17.0%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Willits against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

1,481 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Willits; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Willits has a higher major-crime index than 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Ukiah (20 mi), is 2.1 times Willits's rate.

Fort Bragg24 mi172
Lakeport35 mi170
Clearlake50 mi140
Ukiah20 mi97
Cloverdale46 mi60
Willits46

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Willits

What are the most common crimes in Willits?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are aggravated assault (about 21 a year), shoplifting (about 5 a year) and other larceny (about 5 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 3.9 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Willits's figures add up its 6 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Willits has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 5,173. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Willits, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/willits

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100