Crime in Berlin, Connecticut
Updated ·Vorp Labs
The model puts major crime in Berlin at 42% below the U.S. rate per resident: 80% lower for persons crimes and 34% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 8.9% from a year earlier.
- Modeled from FBI crime data for the police agencies serving Berlin and from local police incident records. Where an agency didn't report to the FBI, its totals are estimated from its past reports or similar agencies.
- The model estimates about 9.9 major crimes per 1,000 residents a year (0.6 violent, 9.3 property), against 17.2 for the U.S.
- By the model's major-crime rate per resident, Berlin is higher than 43% of the 104 other Connecticut places and lower than 52% of the 8,446 other places nationwide on CrimeMetric.
Where these numbers come from
The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Berlin's 12 census block groups for 20,851 residents. How Connecticut residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 86.3% and no reporting agency of their own for 13.7% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method
- Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
- Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
- Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Berlin.
- Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this
How crime varies across Berlin
Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 33 and 53.
- 0–5064.2%
- 50–10015.7%
- 100–20020.1%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Check an address in Berlin
Every crime type in Berlin is near or below the U.S. rate
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
Highest on weekday daytimes
100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.
Expected major crime fell 8.9% in a year; across Connecticut it fell 8.3%
Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; Connecticut in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.
Berlin against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents
1,264 of the 2,480 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Berlin's, and 361 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 67. The 9 nearest in population:
U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.
Berlin's major-crime index is lower than 4 and within 15% of 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The closest, Kensington (1 mi), is within 15% of Berlin's rate.
U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.
Questions about crime in Berlin
Is Berlin safe?
Berlin's major-crime index is 58, 42% below the U.S. rate per resident and higher than 43% of the 104 other Connecticut places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 80% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 34% below the U.S. rate.
What is the crime rate in Berlin?
The model expects about 207 major crimes a year in Berlin, about 9.9 per 1,000 residents, 42% below the U.S. rate.
Is crime going up or down in Berlin?
Expected major crimes in Berlin are down 8.9% from a year earlier; across Connecticut they're down 8.3%.
What are the most common crimes in Berlin?
By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are other larceny (about 65 a year), theft from vehicle (about 48 a year) and shoplifting (about 44 a year).
Are car break-ins common in Berlin?
The model expects about 48 thefts from vehicles a year in Berlin, 14% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Are car thefts common in Berlin?
The model expects about 25 motor vehicle thefts a year in Berlin, 24% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Is Berlin safe at night?
The model's major-crime index is 38 on Friday and Saturday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 78 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.
Is crime in Berlin higher than the Connecticut average?
Berlin's major-crime index is 58, 13% below the Connecticut rate per resident. Connecticut as a whole is 67, where 100 is the U.S. rate.
How does crime in Berlin compare with Kensington?
Kensington, 1 mile away, has a major-crime index of 53, within 15% of Berlin's rate per resident. Berlin's is 58.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Berlin's figures add up its 12 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Berlin's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 20,851. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Berlin, Connecticut." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/ct/berlin
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
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