Crime in Town of Manchester, Connecticut
Updated ·Vorp Labs
The model puts major crime in Town of Manchester at about the U.S. rate per resident: 71% lower for persons crimes and 20% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 6.3% from a year earlier.
- Modeled from FBI crime data for the police agencies serving Town of Manchester. Where an agency didn't report to the FBI, its totals are estimated from its past reports or similar agencies.
- The model estimates about 17.8 major crimes per 1,000 residents a year (0.9 violent, 16.9 property), against 17.2 for the U.S.
- By the model's major-crime rate per resident, Town of Manchester is higher than 82% of the 104 other Connecticut places and 65% of the 8,446 other places nationwide on CrimeMetric.
Where these numbers come from
The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Town of Manchester's 48 census block groups for 60,047 residents. How Connecticut residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 86.3% and no reporting agency of their own for 13.7% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method
- Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
- Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
- Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Town of Manchester.
- Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this
How crime varies across Town of Manchester
Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 42 and 97.
- 0–5043.1%
- 50–10032.7%
- 100–20014.8%
- 200–4006.5%
- 400+3.0%
Check an address in Town of Manchester
Shoplifting and intimidation stand out most, at about 2.2 times the U.S. rate
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
Highest on weekday daytimes
100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.
Expected major crime fell 6.3% in a year; across Connecticut it fell 8.3%
Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; Connecticut in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.
Town of Manchester against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents
176 of the 580 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Town of Manchester's, and 118 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 91. The 9 nearest in population:
U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.
Town of Manchester's major-crime index is higher than 7 and lower than 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The closest, Manchester (under 1 mi), is 16% below Town of Manchester's rate.
U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.
Questions about crime in Town of Manchester
Is Town of Manchester safe?
Town of Manchester's major-crime index is 104, about the U.S. rate per resident and higher than 82% of the 104 other Connecticut places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 71% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 20% above the U.S. rate.
What is the crime rate in Town of Manchester?
The model expects about 1,067 major crimes a year in Town of Manchester, about 17.8 per 1,000 residents, about the U.S. rate.
Is crime going up or down in Town of Manchester?
Expected major crimes in Town of Manchester are down 6.3% from a year earlier; across Connecticut they're down 8.3%.
What are the most common crimes in Town of Manchester?
By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are shoplifting (about 428 a year), other larceny (about 306 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 139 a year).
Are car break-ins common in Town of Manchester?
The model expects about 139 thefts from vehicles a year in Town of Manchester, 13% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Are car thefts common in Town of Manchester?
The model expects about 84 motor vehicle thefts a year in Town of Manchester, 13% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Is Town of Manchester safe at night?
The model's major-crime index is 68 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 137 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.
Is crime in Town of Manchester higher than the Connecticut average?
Town of Manchester's major-crime index is 104, 1.5 times the Connecticut rate per resident. Connecticut as a whole is 67, where 100 is the U.S. rate.
How does crime in Town of Manchester compare with Manchester?
Manchester, under a mile away, has a major-crime index of 87, 16% below Town of Manchester's rate per resident. Town of Manchester's is 104.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Town of Manchester's figures add up its 48 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Town of Manchester has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 60,047. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Town of Manchester, Connecticut." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/ct/town-of-manchester
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Manchesterunder 1 mi87
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