Crime in Estero, Florida
Major crime in Estero is 64% below the U.S. rate per resident: 68% lower for persons crimes and 63% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 20.2% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
Check an address in Estero
Every crime type in Estero is near or below the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Estero for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Estero
The middle half of Estero residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 15 and 50; the typical (median) resident's is 23. The citywide figure (36) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5073.5%
- 50–10017.1%
- 100–2009.4%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest at night
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 20.2% in a year; across Florida it fell 7.8%
Change in expected crimes, with Florida as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Estero against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents
849 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Estero; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Estero has a higher major-crime index than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, San Carlos Park (3 mi), is 21% below Estero's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Estero
What are the most common crimes in Estero?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 62 a year), shoplifting (about 58 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 45 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 48% below the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Estero's figures add up its 30 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Estero has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 23.5% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 37,543. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Estero, Florida." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/fl/estero
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Get a free API keyNearest cities we publish
Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- San Carlos Park3 mi29
- Bonita Springs6 mi46
- Fort Myers Beach7 mi96
- Villas10 mi77
- Cypress Lake10 mi39
- Gateway11 mi20
- Naples Park11 mi32
- McGregor12 mi34