CrimeMetric

Crime in Orangevale, California

Major crime in Orangevale is 14% below the U.S. rate per resident: about the same for persons crimes and 19% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are about flat from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
86
14% below the U.S. rate
29% below the California rate
about flat in a year
Persons crimes
105
about the U.S. rate
22% below the California rate
up 13.1% in a year
Property crimes
82
19% below the U.S. rate
31% below the California rate
down 4.2% in a year
Social disorder
63
37% below the U.S. rate
38% below the California rate
up 8.0% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Burglary stands out most, at 37% above the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Orangevale for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Orangevale

The middle half of Orangevale residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 49 and 92; the typical (median) resident's is 67. The citywide figure (86) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Orangevale, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5025.8%
  • 50–10057.9%
  • 100–2009.6%
  • 200–4005.1%
  • 400+1.6%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm79
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am97
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm79
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am89
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 0.8% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-0.8%CA -7.4%-13.8%CA -14.1%
Persons crimes+13.1%CA -3.5%-4.1%CA -6.1%
Property crimes-4.2%CA -8.4%-16.6%CA -16.1%
Social disorder+8.0%CA -4.9%-7.5%CA -9.4%

Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Orangevale against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

426 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Orangevale; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:

Montclair, CA37,456223
New Bern, NC37,516108
Richmond, IN37,31394
Orangevale, CA37,39886
Franklin, WI37,49148
Duluth, GA37,31244
Oakton, VA37,28534

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Orangevale has a higher major-crime index than 3 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Fair Oaks (3 mi), is about Orangevale's rate.

Carmichael6 mi116
Fair Oaks3 mi86
Orangevale86
Folsom4 mi66
Roseville7 mi65

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Orangevale

What are the most common crimes in Orangevale?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are theft from vehicle (about 107 a year), other larceny (about 102 a year) and aggravated assault (about 92 a year). Compared with the U.S., burglary stands out most: 37% above the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Orangevale's figures add up its 25 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Orangevale has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 92.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 37,398. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Orangevale, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/orangevale

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100