CrimeMetric

Crime in Lake City, Florida

Major crime in Lake City is 26% above the U.S. rate per resident: 10% higher for persons crimes and 30% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.9% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
126
26% above the U.S. rate
1.7 times the Florida rate
down 7.9% in a year
Persons crimes
110
10% above the U.S. rate
35% above the Florida rate
down 7.4% in a year
Property crimes
130
30% above the U.S. rate
1.8 times the Florida rate
down 8.0% in a year
Social disorder
128
28% above the U.S. rate
1.7 times the Florida rate
down 8.4% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 2.4 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Lake City for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Lake City

The middle half of Lake City residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 49 and 140; the typical (median) resident's is 124.

Map of Lake City, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5032.7%
  • 50–1004.9%
  • 100–20047.7%
  • 200–40014.6%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekend daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm130
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am122
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm146
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am105
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.9% in a year; across Florida it fell 7.8%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.9%FL -7.8%-11.1%FL -7.9%
Persons crimes-7.4%FL -1.4%+1.9%FL +3.7%
Property crimes-8.0%FL -9.3%-13.5%FL -10.8%
Social disorder-8.4%FL -3.5%-4.5%FL -0.3%

Change in expected crimes, with Florida as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Lake City against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

417 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Lake City; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Lake City, FL13,807126
Beachwood, OH13,784110
Parlier, CA13,79682
Wildwood, FL13,80656
DeForest, WI13,80424

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Lake City has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Live Oak (22 mi), is 37% below Lake City's rate.

Gainesville40 mi147
Lake City126
Live Oak22 mi80
Macclenny33 mi51
Alachua30 mi49
Newberry36 mi45
Jasper29 mi37
Starke36 mi37

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Lake City

What are the most common crimes in Lake City?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 106 a year), other larceny (about 97 a year) and aggravated assault (about 39 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 2.4 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Lake City's figures add up its 12 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Lake City has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 13,807. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Lake City, Florida." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/fl/lake-city

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100