CrimeMetric

Crime in Palm Coast, Florida

Major crime in Palm Coast is 73% below the U.S. rate per resident: 69% lower for persons crimes and 74% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 15.0% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
27
73% below the U.S. rate
63% below the Florida rate
down 15.0% in a year
Persons crimes
31
69% below the U.S. rate
62% below the Florida rate
up 2.4% in a year
Property crimes
26
74% below the U.S. rate
64% below the Florida rate
down 18.6% in a year
Social disorder
49
51% below the U.S. rate
36% below the Florida rate
down 5.1% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Every crime type in Palm Coast is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Palm Coast for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Palm Coast

The middle half of Palm Coast residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 10 and 25; the typical (median) resident's is 16. The citywide figure (27) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Palm Coast, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5088.7%
  • 50–1007.7%
  • 100–2002.2%
  • 200–4001.4%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest in the daytime

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm30
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am25
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm30
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am23
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 15.0% in a year; across Florida it fell 7.8%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-15.0%FL -7.8%-0.3%FL -7.9%
Persons crimes+2.4%FL -1.4%+13.7%FL +3.7%
Property crimes-18.6%FL -9.3%-3.9%FL -10.8%
Social disorder-5.1%FL -3.5%+8.2%FL -0.3%

Change in expected crimes, with Florida as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Palm Coast against U.S. places with 100,000 to 250,000 residents

267 of the 268 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Palm Coast; the middle of the group is 109. The 9 nearest in population:

Pueblo, CO112,252289
Tyler, TX110,667107
Hillsboro, OR112,140107
Davie, FL111,94593
Bend, OR111,72084
Carlsbad, CA109,80068
Fishers, IN109,92129
Palm Coast, FL111,03027

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Palm Coast has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Bunnell (6 mi), is 2.2 times Palm Coast's rate.

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Palm Coast

What are the most common crimes in Palm Coast?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 164 a year), other larceny (about 142 a year) and aggravated assault (about 81 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 29% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Palm Coast's figures add up its 41 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Palm Coast's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 1.4% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 111,030. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Palm Coast, Florida." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/fl/palm-coast

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100