CrimeMetric

Crime in Pine Castle, Florida

Major crime in Pine Castle is 9% below the U.S. rate per resident: 1.9 times for persons crimes and 30% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 10.2% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
91
9% below the U.S. rate
22% above the Florida rate
down 10.2% in a year
Persons crimes
186
1.9 times the U.S. rate
2.3 times the Florida rate
up 6.9% in a year
Property crimes
70
30% below the U.S. rate
about the Florida rate
down 18.0% in a year
Social disorder
94
7% below the U.S. rate
21% above the Florida rate
down 5.0% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Pine Castle

Crime by type

Aggravated assault stands out most, at 2.0 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Pine Castle for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Pine Castle

The middle half of Pine Castle residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 56 and 91; the typical (median) resident's is 86.

Map of Pine Castle, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–500.0%
  • 50–10084.6%
  • 100–2007.1%
  • 200–4008.4%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm79
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am107
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm78
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am102
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 10.2% in a year; across Florida it fell 7.8%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-10.2%FL -7.8%-6.7%FL -7.9%
Persons crimes+6.9%FL -1.4%+3.9%FL +3.7%
Property crimes-18.0%FL -9.3%-13.0%FL -10.8%
Social disorder-5.0%FL -3.5%-0.5%FL -0.3%

Change in expected crimes, with Florida as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Pine Castle against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

802 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Pine Castle; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Brooklyn, OH11,075333
Goulds, FL11,070164
Newberry, SC11,072130
Pine Castle, FL11,08591
Byram, MS11,08439

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Pine Castle has a higher major-crime index than 3 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Sky Lake (1 mi), is 1.6 times Pine Castle's rate.

Orlando3 mi186
Southchase6 mi156
Sky Lake1 mi148
Oak Ridge3 mi104
Pine Castle91
Conway4 mi69

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Pine Castle

What are the most common crimes in Pine Castle?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are aggravated assault (about 50 a year), other larceny (about 47 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 31 a year). Compared with the U.S., aggravated assault stands out most: 2.0 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Pine Castle's figures add up its 6 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Pine Castle has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 54.1% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 11,085. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Pine Castle, Florida." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/fl/pine-castle

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100