CrimeMetric

Crime in Orlando, Florida

Major crime in Orlando is 1.9 times the U.S. rate per resident: 2.1 times for persons crimes and 1.8 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.6% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
186
1.9 times the U.S. rate
2.5 times the Florida rate
down 7.6% in a year
Persons crimes
210
2.1 times the U.S. rate
2.6 times the Florida rate
up 1.7% in a year
Property crimes
181
1.8 times the U.S. rate
2.5 times the Florida rate
down 9.7% in a year
Social disorder
188
1.9 times the U.S. rate
2.4 times the Florida rate
down 2.8% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Simple assault and robbery stand out most, at about 2.5 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Orlando for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Persons crimes

Robbery241345
Murder20925

Property crimes

Burglary1871,021
Shoplifting1491,581

How crime varies across Orlando

The middle half of Orlando residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 82 and 175; the typical (median) resident's is 121. The citywide figure (186) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Orlando, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–505.9%
  • 50–10027.9%
  • 100–20047.3%
  • 200–40014.4%
  • 400+4.5%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm162
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am213
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm188
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am198
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.6% in a year; across Florida it fell 7.8%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.6%FL -7.8%-6.9%FL -7.9%
Persons crimes+1.7%FL -1.4%+3.6%FL +3.7%
Property crimes-9.7%FL -9.3%-9.6%FL -10.8%
Social disorder-2.8%FL -3.5%+0.2%FL -0.3%

Change in expected crimes, with Florida as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Orlando against U.S. places with 250,000 to 500,000 residents

16 of the 53 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Orlando; the middle of the group is 142. The 9 nearest in population:

Cincinnati, OH320,786272
Stockton, CA328,940194
Orlando, FL333,799186
Riverside, CA325,536159
Anaheim, CA339,763132
Newark, NJ330,800106
Santa Ana, CA317,92086
Irvine, CA323,64565

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Orlando has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Conway (3 mi), is 63% below Orlando's rate.

Orlando186
Orlovista6 mi177
Sky Lake4 mi148
Oak Ridge4 mi104
Conway3 mi69

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Orlando

What are the most common crimes in Orlando?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 3,100 a year), theft from vehicle (about 2,117 a year) and aggravated assault (about 1,619 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 2.5 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Orlando's figures add up its 166 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Orlando has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 333,799. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Orlando, Florida." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/fl/orlando

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100