CrimeMetric

Crime in Winter Haven, Florida

Major crime in Winter Haven is 8% below the U.S. rate per resident: 9% lower for persons crimes and 8% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.5% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
92
8% below the U.S. rate
24% above the Florida rate
down 7.5% in a year
Persons crimes
91
9% below the U.S. rate
11% above the Florida rate
down 3.5% in a year
Property crimes
93
8% below the U.S. rate
27% above the Florida rate
down 8.3% in a year
Social disorder
93
7% below the U.S. rate
21% above the Florida rate
down 5.8% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Winter Haven

Crime by type

Simple assault stands out most, at 25% above the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Winter Haven for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Winter Haven

The middle half of Winter Haven residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 42 and 92; the typical (median) resident's is 66. The citywide figure (92) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Winter Haven, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5044.8%
  • 50–10037.4%
  • 100–2007.1%
  • 200–4007.1%
  • 400+3.7%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm82
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am105
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm93
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am92
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.5% in a year; across Florida it fell 7.8%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.5%FL -7.8%-0.1%FL -7.9%
Persons crimes-3.5%FL -1.4%+15.3%FL +3.7%
Property crimes-8.3%FL -9.3%-3.4%FL -10.8%
Social disorder-5.8%FL -3.5%+7.8%FL -0.3%

Change in expected crimes, with Florida as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Winter Haven against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents

267 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Winter Haven; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:

Olympia, WA56,294186
Severn, MD55,838102
Oak Lawn, IL55,91794
Winter Haven, FL56,09192
Everett, MA56,10585
Bartlett, TN56,19952

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Winter Haven has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Cypress Gardens (2 mi), is 50% below Winter Haven's rate.

Winter Haven92
Inwood4 mi62
Wahneta5 mi42
Dundee6 mi38

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Winter Haven

What are the most common crimes in Winter Haven?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 254 a year), shoplifting (about 208 a year) and aggravated assault (about 143 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 25% above the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Winter Haven's figures add up its 27 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Winter Haven has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 35.6% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 56,091. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Winter Haven, Florida." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/fl/winter-haven

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100