CrimeMetric

Crime in Tonawanda Town, New York

Major crime in Tonawanda Town is 12% below the U.S. rate per resident: 61% lower for persons crimes and about the same for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 30.4% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
88
12% below the U.S. rate
17% below the New York rate
down 30.4% in a year
Persons crimes
39
61% below the U.S. rate
65% below the New York rate
down 5.2% in a year
Property crimes
99
about the U.S. rate
6% below the New York rate
down 32.0% in a year
Social disorder
83
17% below the U.S. rate
21% below the New York rate
down 13.2% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Other larceny stands out most, at 34% above the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Tonawanda Town for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Tonawanda Town

The middle half of Tonawanda Town residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 51 and 106; the typical (median) resident's is 76.

Map of Tonawanda Town, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5022.5%
  • 50–10049.3%
  • 100–20020.9%
  • 200–4007.2%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm82
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am100
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm82
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am88
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 30.4% in a year; across New York it fell 8.7%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-30.4%NY -8.7%-16.1%NY -14.4%
Persons crimes-5.2%NY -7.0%-7.6%NY -7.2%
Property crimes-32.0%NY -9.0%-16.8%NY -16.1%
Social disorder-13.2%NY -5.2%-7.7%NY -6.7%

Change in expected crimes, with New York as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Tonawanda Town against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents

292 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Tonawanda Town; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:

Chicopee, MA55,556130
Severn, MD55,838102
Oak Lawn, IL55,91794
Tonawanda Town, NY55,92388
Everett, MA56,10585
Bartlett, TN56,19952

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Tonawanda Town has a higher major-crime index than 3 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Kenmore (2 mi), is about Tonawanda Town's rate.

Buffalo5 mi260
Sloan7 mi125
Tonawanda Town88
Kenmore2 mi84
Tonawanda2 mi78

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Tonawanda Town

What are the most common crimes in Tonawanda Town?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 375 a year), theft from vehicle (about 153 a year) and shoplifting (about 104 a year). Compared with the U.S., other larceny stands out most: 34% above the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Tonawanda Town's figures add up its 59 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Tonawanda Town has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 5.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 55,923. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Tonawanda Town, New York." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ny/tonawanda-town

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100