CrimeMetric

Crime in Sterling, Illinois

Major crime in Sterling is 34% below the U.S. rate per resident: 21% lower for persons crimes and 37% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 8.2% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
66
34% below the U.S. rate
29% below the Illinois rate
down 8.2% in a year
Persons crimes
79
21% below the U.S. rate
15% above the Illinois rate
down 4.9% in a year
Property crimes
63
37% below the U.S. rate
36% below the Illinois rate
down 9.1% in a year
Social disorder
101
about the U.S. rate
7% below the Illinois rate
down 6.1% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Sterling

Crime by type

Rape / sexual assault stands out most, at 1.8 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Sterling for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Sterling

The middle half of Sterling residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 37 and 74; the typical (median) resident's is 61.

Map of Sterling, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5038.5%
  • 50–10048.0%
  • 100–2007.1%
  • 200–4006.4%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm80
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am51
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm69
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am53
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 8.2% in a year; across Illinois it fell 9.6%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-8.2%IL -9.6%-16.3%IL -14.2%
Persons crimes-4.9%IL -14.4%-4.0%IL -6.8%
Property crimes-9.1%IL -8.9%-19.7%IL -15.4%
Social disorder-6.1%IL -12.0%-10.8%IL -8.2%

Change in expected crimes, with Illinois as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Sterling against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

1,186 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Sterling; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Overlea, MD14,158161
Villas, FL14,14477
Sterling, IL14,16066
Cascades, VA14,15962

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Sterling has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Rock Falls (2 mi), is 2.3 times Sterling's rate.

Rock Falls2 mi151
Sterling66
Oregon24 mi62
Fulton25 mi43
Amboy19 mi33
Morrison14 mi33
Dixon11 mi27
Polo14 mi19

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Sterling

What are the most common crimes in Sterling?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 49 a year), shoplifting (about 35 a year) and aggravated assault (about 24 a year). Compared with the U.S., rape / sexual assault stands out most: 1.8 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Sterling's figures add up its 17 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Sterling has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 14,160. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Sterling, Illinois." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/il/sterling

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100