CrimeMetric

Crime in Winchester, Kentucky

Major crime in Winchester is 28% above the U.S. rate per resident: 43% lower for persons crimes and 43% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.8% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
128
28% above the U.S. rate
49% above the Kentucky rate
down 7.8% in a year
Persons crimes
57
43% below the U.S. rate
11% below the Kentucky rate
down 5.5% in a year
Property crimes
143
43% above the U.S. rate
1.6 times the Kentucky rate
down 8.0% in a year
Social disorder
169
1.7 times the U.S. rate
1.7 times the Kentucky rate
down 6.8% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Winchester

Crime by type

Drugs and alcohol stands out most, at 3.6 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Winchester for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Winchester

The middle half of Winchester residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 56 and 177; the typical (median) resident's is 108. The citywide figure (128) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Winchester, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–509.1%
  • 50–10032.0%
  • 100–20038.4%
  • 200–40020.5%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm191
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am63
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm162
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am49
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.8% in a year; across Kentucky it fell 5.9%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.8%KY -5.9%-13.0%KY -12.3%
Persons crimes-5.5%KY -9.7%0.0%KY -1.4%
Property crimes-8.0%KY -5.3%-14.1%KY -14.0%
Social disorder-6.8%KY -5.8%-8.1%KY -7.2%

Change in expected crimes, with Kentucky as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Winchester against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

407 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Winchester; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Winchester, KY21,371128
Lincolnia, VA21,363104
Ashland, OR21,38687
Eloy, AZ21,40775
Mineola, NY21,33464

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Winchester has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Mount Sterling (14 mi), is 47% below Winchester's rate.

Winchester128
Richmond18 mi114
Georgetown25 mi68
Paris15 mi64
Stanton21 mi42
Irvine24 mi33

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Winchester

What are the most common crimes in Winchester?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 202 a year), shoplifting (about 135 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 42 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 3.6 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Winchester's figures add up its 14 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Winchester has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 21,371. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Winchester, Kentucky." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ky/winchester

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100