Crime in Natick, Massachusetts
Updated ·Vorp Labs
The model puts major crime in Natick at 24% below the U.S. rate per resident: 29% lower for persons crimes and 23% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are about flat from a year earlier.
- Modeled from FBI crime data for the police agencies serving Natick. Where an agency didn't report to the FBI, its totals are estimated from its past reports or similar agencies.
- The model estimates about 13.1 major crimes per 1,000 residents a year (2.2 violent, 10.9 property), against 17.2 for the U.S.
- By the model's major-crime rate per resident, Natick is higher than 65% of the 193 other Massachusetts places and 48% of the 8,446 other places nationwide on CrimeMetric.
Where these numbers come from
The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Natick's 29 census block groups for 37,272 residents. How Massachusetts residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 98.4%, summary counts only for 0.2% and no reporting agency of their own for 1.3% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method
- Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
- Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
- Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Natick.
- Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this
How crime varies across Natick
Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 39 and 72.
- 0–5049.3%
- 50–10034.4%
- 100–20012.5%
- 200–4003.9%
- 400+0.0%
Check an address in Natick
Other larceny stands out most, at 20% above the U.S. rate
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
Highest on weekend daytimes
100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.
Expected major crime fell 0.4% in a year; across Massachusetts it fell 5.7%
Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; Massachusetts in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.
Natick against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents
443 of the 1,120 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Natick's, and 179 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 73. The 9 nearest in population:
U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.
Natick's major-crime index is higher than 5, lower than 1 and within 15% of 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The closest, Framingham (3 mi), is within 15% of Natick's rate.
U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.
Questions about crime in Natick
Is Natick safe?
Natick's major-crime index is 76, 24% below the U.S. rate per resident and higher than 65% of the 193 other Massachusetts places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 29% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 23% below the U.S. rate.
What is the crime rate in Natick?
The model expects about 487 major crimes a year in Natick, about 13.1 per 1,000 residents, 24% below the U.S. rate.
Is crime going up or down in Natick?
Expected major crimes in Natick are about flat from a year earlier; across Massachusetts they're down 5.7%.
What are the most common crimes in Natick?
By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are other larceny (about 223 a year), shoplifting (about 100 a year) and aggravated assault (about 76 a year).
Are car break-ins common in Natick?
The model expects about 38 thefts from vehicles a year in Natick, 62% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Are car thefts common in Natick?
The model expects about 11 motor vehicle thefts a year in Natick, 82% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Is Natick safe at night?
The model's major-crime index is 56 on Friday and Saturday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 109 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.
Is crime in Natick higher than the Massachusetts average?
Natick's major-crime index is 76, about the Massachusetts rate per resident. Massachusetts as a whole is 74, where 100 is the U.S. rate.
How does crime in Natick compare with Framingham?
Framingham, 3 miles away, has a major-crime index of 68, within 15% of Natick's rate per resident. Natick's is 76.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Natick's figures add up its 29 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Natick has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 37,272. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Natick, Massachusetts." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/ma/natick
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
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