Crime in Oakton, Virginia
Major crime in Oakton is 66% below the U.S. rate per resident: 81% lower for persons crimes and 63% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 17.2% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Every crime type in Oakton is near or below the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Oakton for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Oakton
The middle half of Oakton residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 23 and 44; the typical (median) resident's is 29.
- 0–5088.2%
- 50–10011.8%
- 100–2000.0%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weeknights
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 17.2% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%
Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Oakton against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents
884 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Oakton; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Oakton has a higher major-crime index than 3 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Vienna (2 mi), is 1.5 times Oakton's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Oakton
What are the most common crimes in Oakton?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 77 a year), theft from vehicle (about 53 a year) and shoplifting (about 39 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 35% below the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Oakton's figures add up its 21 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Oakton's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- 14.4% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 37,285. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Oakton, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/oakton
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Vienna2 mi52
- Fairfax2 mi175
- Mantua3 mi27
- Merrifield3 mi172
- Dunn Loring3 mi25
- George Mason4 mi105
- Woodburn4 mi56
- Long Branch4 mi25