Crime in Bel Air, Maryland
Major crime in Bel Air is 20% below the U.S. rate per resident: 54% lower for persons crimes and 12% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.6% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Shoplifting stands out most, at 2.1 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Bel Air for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Bel Air
The middle half of Bel Air residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 50 and 134; the typical (median) resident's is 50. The citywide figure (80) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5050.4%
- 50–10019.2%
- 100–20030.4%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest in the daytime
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 7.6% in a year; across Maryland it fell 10.0%
Change in expected crimes, with Maryland as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Bel Air against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents
793 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Bel Air; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Bel Air has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Bel Air North (1 mi), is 57% below Bel Air's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Bel Air
What are the most common crimes in Bel Air?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 64 a year), other larceny (about 25 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 16 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 2.1 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Bel Air's figures add up its 6 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Bel Air has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 9,571. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Bel Air, Maryland." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/md/bel-air
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Bel Air North1 mi34
- Bel Air South3 mi53
- Fallston5 mi29
- Riverside7 mi54
- Kingsville8 mi71
- Edgewood8 mi55
- Joppatowne9 mi37
- Aberdeen10 mi117