Crime in Bel Air South, Maryland
Major crime in Bel Air South is 47% below the U.S. rate per resident: 60% lower for persons crimes and 44% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 8.9% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Shoplifting stands out most, at 36% above the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Bel Air South for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Bel Air South
The middle half of Bel Air South residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 15 and 33; the typical (median) resident's is 23. The citywide figure (53) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5088.5%
- 50–1002.0%
- 100–2004.1%
- 200–4003.8%
- 400+1.5%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weekend daytimes
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 8.9% in a year; across Maryland it fell 10.0%
Change in expected crimes, with Maryland as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Bel Air South against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents
454 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Bel Air South; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Bel Air South has a higher major-crime index than 3 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Bel Air (3 mi), is 1.5 times Bel Air South's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Bel Air South
What are the most common crimes in Bel Air South?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 257 a year), other larceny (about 105 a year) and aggravated assault (about 61 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 36% above the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Bel Air South's figures add up its 31 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Bel Air South's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- 16.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 59,598. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Bel Air South, Maryland." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/md/bel-air-south
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Bel Air3 mi80
- Riverside4 mi54
- Bel Air North5 mi34
- Edgewood5 mi55
- Joppatowne6 mi37
- Kingsville7 mi71
- Fallston7 mi29
- Aberdeen8 mi117