Crime in Frederick, Maryland
Major crime in Frederick is 11% below the U.S. rate per resident: about the same for persons crimes and 13% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 16.9% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Shoplifting and burglary stand out most, at about 35% above the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Frederick for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Frederick
The middle half of Frederick residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 28 and 117; the typical (median) resident's is 65. The citywide figure (89) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5040.8%
- 50–10027.9%
- 100–20020.6%
- 200–40010.2%
- 400+0.5%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weekday daytimes
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 16.9% in a year; across Maryland it fell 10.0%
Change in expected crimes, with Maryland as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Frederick against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents
290 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Frederick; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Frederick has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Ballenger Creek (4 mi), is 11% below Frederick's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Frederick
What are the most common crimes in Frederick?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 414 a year), other larceny (about 350 a year) and burglary (about 209 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 35% above the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Frederick's figures add up its 55 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Frederick's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- 65.6% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 96,813. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Frederick, Maryland." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/md/frederick
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Ballenger Creek4 mi79
- Braddock Heights5 mi38
- Spring Ridge5 mi28
- Walkersville6 mi50
- Middletown6 mi47
- Urbana8 mi36
- Green Valley12 mi27
- Thurmont13 mi38