CrimeMetric

Crime in Green Valley, Maryland

Major crime in Green Valley is 73% below the U.S. rate per resident: 76% lower for persons crimes and 73% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 10.6% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
27
73% below the U.S. rate
77% below the Maryland rate
down 10.6% in a year
Persons crimes
24
76% below the U.S. rate
77% below the Maryland rate
down 8.3% in a year
Property crimes
27
73% below the U.S. rate
77% below the Maryland rate
down 11.1% in a year
Social disorder
30
70% below the U.S. rate
67% below the Maryland rate
down 6.7% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Every crime type in Green Valley is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Green Valley for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Green Valley

The middle half of Green Valley residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 13 and 31; the typical (median) resident's is 24.

Map of Green Valley, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5092.8%
  • 50–1007.2%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm38
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am18
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm25
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am16
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 10.6% in a year; across Maryland it fell 10.0%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-10.6%MD -10.0%-7.4%MD -12.7%
Persons crimes-8.3%MD -9.9%+8.4%MD -5.4%
Property crimes-11.1%MD -10.0%-10.5%MD -14.1%
Social disorder-6.7%MD -7.6%+3.9%MD -6.6%

Change in expected crimes, with Maryland as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Green Valley against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

2,036 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Green Valley; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Branson, MO15,147187
Glasgow, KY15,151106
Milford, DE15,17098
Dublin, GA15,17178
Eureka, MO15,13942
Swansea, IL15,17340
Green Valley, MD15,15327

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Green Valley has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Mount Airy (5 mi), is 2.1 times Green Valley's rate.

Germantown12 mi112
Damascus6 mi38
Urbana6 mi36
Green Valley27

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Green Valley

What are the most common crimes in Green Valley?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 27 a year), shoplifting (about 13 a year) and aggravated assault (about 9 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 45% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Green Valley's figures add up its 9 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Green Valley has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 15,153. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Green Valley, Maryland." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/md/green-valley

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100