Crime in Middle River, Maryland
Major crime in Middle River is 1.8 times the U.S. rate per resident: 34% higher for persons crimes and 1.9 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 13.8% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Shoplifting stands out most, at 3.9 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Middle River for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Middle River
The middle half of Middle River residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 93 and 171; the typical (median) resident's is 111. The citywide figure (184) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–500.0%
- 50–10034.5%
- 100–20044.8%
- 200–40014.9%
- 400+5.8%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weekday daytimes
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 13.8% in a year; across Maryland it fell 10.0%
Change in expected crimes, with Maryland as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Middle River against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents
72 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Middle River; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Middle River has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Essex (3 mi), is 22% below Middle River's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Middle River
What are the most common crimes in Middle River?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 390 a year), theft from vehicle (about 157 a year) and other larceny (about 146 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 3.9 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Middle River's figures add up its 18 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Middle River has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 100.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 31,184. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Middle River, Maryland." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/md/middle-river
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Essex3 mi143
- Rossville3 mi141
- Bowleys Quarters3 mi124
- White Marsh3 mi285
- Rosedale4 mi136
- Honeygo4 mi107
- Overlea5 mi161
- Perry Hall5 mi101