Crime in Fredericksburg, Virginia
Major crime in Fredericksburg is 1.6 times the U.S. rate per resident: 38% higher for persons crimes and 1.6 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 9.6% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Shoplifting stands out most, at 3.7 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Fredericksburg for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Fredericksburg
The middle half of Fredericksburg residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 40 and 132; the typical (median) resident's is 71. The citywide figure (158) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5030.6%
- 50–10035.2%
- 100–20015.1%
- 200–4009.1%
- 400+10.1%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weekend daytimes
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 9.6% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%
Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Fredericksburg against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents
115 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Fredericksburg; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Fredericksburg has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Falmouth (3 mi), is 74% below Fredericksburg's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Fredericksburg
What are the most common crimes in Fredericksburg?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 365 a year), other larceny (about 186 a year) and aggravated assault (about 100 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 3.7 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Fredericksburg's figures add up its 20 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Fredericksburg has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 80.9% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 31,058. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Fredericksburg, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/fredericksburg
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Get a free API keyNearest cities we publish
Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Falmouth3 mi41
- Spotsylvania Courthouse10 mi24
- Aquia Harbour13 mi19
- King George15 mi40
- Quantico Base18 mi47
- Triangle20 mi44
- Dumfries20 mi73
- Cherry Hill22 mi55