CrimeMetric

Crime in Berlin, Michigan

Updated ·Vorp Labs

The model puts major crime in Berlin at 53% below the U.S. rate per resident: 28% lower for persons crimes and 59% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are up 11.4% from a year earlier.

Where these numbers come from

The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Berlin's 7 census block groups for 10,111 residents. How Michigan residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 97.5%, summary counts only for 0.6% and estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 1.9% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method

Why other sites show different numbers for Berlin:
  • Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
  • Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
  • Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Berlin.
  • Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Major crime
8.0
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 47: 53% below the U.S. rate
50% below the Michigan rate
up 11.4% in a year
Persons crimes
2.2
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 72: 28% below the U.S. rate
46% below the Michigan rate
up 7.5% in a year
Property crimes
5.8
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 41: 59% below the U.S. rate
51% below the Michigan rate
up 13.0% in a year
Social disorder
15.4
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 67: 33% below the U.S. rate
32% below the Michigan rate
up 11.1% in a year

Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this

How crime varies across Berlin

Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 29 and 57.

Map of Berlin, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Pale gray: under 100 residents. Tap one to compare.
  • 0–5072.0%
  • 50–10020.3%
  • 100–2007.7%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

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Crime by type

No crime type in Berlin is more than 15% above the U.S. rate

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year
When it happens

About the same at every time of week

100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm48
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am48
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm46
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am42
Trend and outlook

Expected major crime rose 11.4% in a year; across Michigan it fell 6.1%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime+11.4%MI -6.1%-11.5%MI -11.8%
Persons crimes+7.5%MI -1.8%+0.3%MI -1.3%
Property crimes+13.0%MI -7.5%-16.1%MI -15.5%
Social disorder+11.1%MI -2.9%-3.7%MI -5.4%

Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; Michigan in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.

Similar-size places

Berlin against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

1,531 of the 2,480 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Berlin's, and 373 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 67. The 9 nearest in population:

Roxboro, NC10,114161
Linthicum, MD10,121100
Carroll, IA10,11468
Crete, IL10,11356
Berlin, MI10,11147
Hampton, NH10,11538
Bogota, NJ10,10229

U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.

Nearby places

Berlin's major-crime index is higher than 2, lower than 4 and within 15% of 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The closest, Flat Rock (5 mi), is 34% above Berlin's rate.

Monroe9 mi96
Woodhaven8 mi87
Flat Rock5 mi63
Berlin47
Huron9 mi45
Gibraltar7 mi35
Trenton9 mi30

U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.

Questions about crime in Berlin

Is Berlin safe?

Berlin's major-crime index is 47, 53% below the U.S. rate per resident and lower than 54% of the 343 other Michigan places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 28% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 59% below the U.S. rate.

What is the crime rate in Berlin?

The model expects about 81 major crimes a year in Berlin, about 8.0 per 1,000 residents, 53% below the U.S. rate.

Is crime going up or down in Berlin?

Expected major crimes in Berlin are up 11.4% from a year earlier; across Michigan they're down 6.1%.

What are the most common crimes in Berlin?

By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are other larceny (about 23 a year), aggravated assault (about 19 a year) and shoplifting (about 11 a year).

Are car break-ins common in Berlin?

The model expects about 9 thefts from vehicles a year in Berlin, 68% below the U.S. rate per resident.

Are car thefts common in Berlin?

The model expects about 7 motor vehicle thefts a year in Berlin, 57% below the U.S. rate per resident.

Is Berlin safe at night?

The model's major-crime index is 48 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, the same as at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.

Is crime in Berlin higher than the Michigan average?

Berlin's major-crime index is 47, 50% below the Michigan rate per resident. Michigan as a whole is 93, where 100 is the U.S. rate.

How does crime in Berlin compare with Flat Rock?

Flat Rock, 5 miles away, has a major-crime index of 63, 34% above Berlin's rate per resident. Berlin's is 47.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Berlin's figures add up its 7 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Berlin has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 10,111. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Berlin, Michigan." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/mi/berlin

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100