CrimeMetric

Crime in Fair Plain, Michigan

Major crime in Fair Plain is 4.6 times the U.S. rate per resident: 4.2 times for persons crimes and 4.7 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.2% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
457
4.6 times the U.S. rate
4.9 times the Michigan rate
down 7.2% in a year
Persons crimes
416
4.2 times the U.S. rate
3.1 times the Michigan rate
down 3.4% in a year
Property crimes
466
4.7 times the U.S. rate
5.5 times the Michigan rate
down 7.9% in a year
Social disorder
297
3.0 times the U.S. rate
3.0 times the Michigan rate
down 5.5% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 12.6 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Fair Plain for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Fair Plain

The middle half of Fair Plain residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 53 and 263; the typical (median) resident's is 188. The citywide figure (457) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Fair Plain, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5022.7%
  • 50–10016.0%
  • 100–20014.4%
  • 200–40026.9%
  • 400+19.9%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest in the daytime

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm574
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am297
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm582
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am344
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.2% in a year; across Michigan it fell 6.1%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.2%MI -6.1%-14.4%MI -11.8%
Persons crimes-3.4%MI -1.8%-2.8%MI -1.3%
Property crimes-7.9%MI -7.5%-16.7%MI -15.5%
Social disorder-5.5%MI -2.9%-7.9%MI -5.4%

Change in expected crimes, with Michigan as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Fair Plain against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

3 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Fair Plain; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Fair Plain, MI7,443457
Westgate, FL7,442142
Ontario, OH7,445127
Wilton, CA7,45374

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Fair Plain has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Benton Harbor (2 mi), is 40% below Fair Plain's rate.

Fair Plain457
Dowagiac19 mi197
Niles20 mi94
Buchanan18 mi91
Hartford17 mi58

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Fair Plain

What are the most common crimes in Fair Plain?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 299 a year), other larceny (about 91 a year) and aggravated assault (about 85 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 12.6 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Fair Plain's figures add up its 7 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Fair Plain has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 36.3% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 7,443. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Fair Plain, Michigan." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/mi/fair-plain

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100