CrimeMetric

Crime in Paw Paw Lake, Michigan

Major crime in Paw Paw Lake is 41% below the U.S. rate per resident: 11% lower for persons crimes and 48% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 8.5% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
59
41% below the U.S. rate
37% below the Michigan rate
down 8.5% in a year
Persons crimes
89
11% below the U.S. rate
33% below the Michigan rate
down 3.5% in a year
Property crimes
52
48% below the U.S. rate
38% below the Michigan rate
down 10.3% in a year
Social disorder
87
13% below the U.S. rate
11% below the Michigan rate
down 4.1% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Paw Paw Lake

Crime by type

Rape / sexual assault stands out most, at 1.9 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Paw Paw Lake for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Paw Paw Lake

Paw Paw Lake is made up of 4 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 53; the middle half of residents live where it is between 53 and 60.

Map of Paw Paw Lake, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5023.4%
  • 50–10076.6%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm69
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am51
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm63
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am40
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 8.5% in a year; across Michigan it fell 6.1%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-8.5%MI -6.1%-13.6%MI -11.8%
Persons crimes-3.5%MI -1.8%-1.3%MI -1.3%
Property crimes-10.3%MI -7.5%-18.3%MI -15.5%
Social disorder-4.1%MI -2.9%-6.1%MI -5.4%

Change in expected crimes, with Michigan as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Paw Paw Lake against U.S. places with 2,000 to 5,000 residents

867 of the 1,761 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Paw Paw Lake; the middle of the group is 58. The 9 nearest in population:

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Paw Paw Lake has a higher major-crime index than 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Hartford (6 mi), is about Paw Paw Lake's rate.

Fair Plain13 mi457
South Haven13 mi211
Dowagiac18 mi197
Paw Paw19 mi135
St. Joseph13 mi93
Paw Paw Lake59
Hartford6 mi58

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Paw Paw Lake

What are the most common crimes in Paw Paw Lake?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 14 a year), aggravated assault (about 8 a year) and shoplifting (about 5 a year). Compared with the U.S., rape / sexual assault stands out most: 1.9 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Paw Paw Lake's figures add up its 4 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Paw Paw Lake has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 24.8% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 3,733. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Paw Paw Lake, Michigan." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/mi/paw-paw-lake

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100