Crime in Texas, Michigan
Updated ·Vorp Labs
The model puts major crime in Texas at 40% below the U.S. rate per resident: 38% lower for persons crimes and 40% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 11.2% from a year earlier.
- Modeled from FBI crime data for the police agencies serving Texas. Where an agency didn't report to the FBI, its totals are estimated from its past reports or similar agencies.
- The model estimates about 10.3 major crimes per 1,000 residents a year (1.9 violent, 8.4 property), against 17.2 for the U.S.
- By the model's major-crime rate per resident, Texas is higher than 44% of the 343 other Michigan places and lower than 49% of the 8,446 other places nationwide on CrimeMetric.
Where these numbers come from
The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Texas's 11 census block groups for 19,189 residents. How Michigan residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 97.5%, summary counts only for 0.6% and estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 1.9% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method
- Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
- Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
- Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Texas.
- Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this
How crime varies across Texas
Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 29 and 69.
- 0–5050.2%
- 50–10031.7%
- 100–20018.1%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Check an address in Texas
Every crime type in Texas is near or below the U.S. rate
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
Highest on weekday daytimes
100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.
Expected major crime fell 11.2% in a year; across Michigan it fell 6.1%
Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; Michigan in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.
Texas against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents
1,205 of the 2,480 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Texas's, and 367 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 67. The 9 nearest in population:
U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.
Texas's major-crime index is higher than 1 and lower than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The closest, Portage (5 mi), is 2.2 times Texas's rate.
U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.
Questions about crime in Texas
Is Texas safe?
Texas's major-crime index is 60, 40% below the U.S. rate per resident and higher than 44% of the 343 other Michigan places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 38% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 40% below the U.S. rate.
What is the crime rate in Texas?
The model expects about 198 major crimes a year in Texas, about 10.3 per 1,000 residents, 40% below the U.S. rate.
Is crime going up or down in Texas?
Expected major crimes in Texas are down 11.2% from a year earlier; across Michigan they're down 6.1%.
What are the most common crimes in Texas?
By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are other larceny (about 62 a year), theft from vehicle (about 36 a year) and aggravated assault (about 31 a year).
Are car break-ins common in Texas?
The model expects about 36 thefts from vehicles a year in Texas, 29% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Are car thefts common in Texas?
The model expects about 21 motor vehicle thefts a year in Texas, 32% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Is Texas safe at night?
The model's major-crime index is 38 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 84 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.
Is crime in Texas higher than the Michigan average?
Texas's major-crime index is 60, 35% below the Michigan rate per resident. Michigan as a whole is 93, where 100 is the U.S. rate.
How does crime in Texas compare with Portage?
Portage, 5 miles away, has a major-crime index of 130, 2.2 times Texas's rate per resident. Texas's is 60.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Texas's figures add up its 11 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Texas has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 19,189. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Texas, Michigan." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/mi/texas
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100