Crime in Duluth, Minnesota
Major crime in Duluth is 1.7 times the U.S. rate per resident: 26% lower for persons crimes and 1.9 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 13.1% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Theft from vehicle stands out most, at 3.0 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Duluth for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Duluth
The middle half of Duluth residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 32 and 127; the typical (median) resident's is 72. The citywide figure (169) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5038.3%
- 50–10027.9%
- 100–20020.6%
- 200–4003.9%
- 400+9.2%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weekdays, day and night
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 13.1% in a year; across Minnesota it fell 1.8%
Change in expected crimes, with Minnesota as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Duluth against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents
63 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Duluth; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Duluth has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Hermantown (5 mi), is 42% below Duluth's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Duluth
What are the most common crimes in Duluth?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 793 a year), theft from vehicle (about 713 a year) and other larceny (about 562 a year). Compared with the U.S., theft from vehicle stands out most: 3.0 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Duluth's figures add up its 86 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Duluth's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- 25.2% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 88,625. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Duluth, Minnesota." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/mn/duluth
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Hermantown5 mi99
- Superior, WI6 mi100
- Proctor6 mi46
- Rice Lake7 mi29
- Cloquet18 mi40
- Two Harbors26 mi23
- Eveleth50 mi129
- Silver Bay51 mi26