Crime in Watertown, Minnesota
Major crime in Watertown is 75% below the U.S. rate per resident: 72% lower for persons crimes and 76% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 18.6% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
Check an address in Watertown
Every crime type in Watertown is near or below the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Watertown for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Social disorder
How crime varies across Watertown
The middle half of Watertown residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 14 and 27; the typical (median) resident's is 27.
- 0–50100.0%
- 50–1000.0%
- 100–2000.0%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weekday daytimes
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 18.6% in a year; across Minnesota it fell 1.8%
Change in expected crimes, with Minnesota as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Watertown against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents
2,028 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Watertown; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Watertown has a higher major-crime index than 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Minnetrista (7 mi), is 13% below Watertown's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Watertown
What are the most common crimes in Watertown?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 6 a year), other larceny (about 5 a year) and aggravated assault (about 3 a year). Compared with the U.S., rape / sexual assault stands out most: 21% below the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Watertown's figures add up its 5 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Watertown has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 5,116. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Watertown, Minnesota." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/mn/watertown
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Minnetrista7 mi22
- Independence8 mi37
- Waconia9 mi27
- Orono12 mi52
- Shorewood13 mi29
- Norwood Young America14 mi31
- Medina15 mi22
- Chaska15 mi35