CrimeMetric

Crime in Waconia, Minnesota

Major crime in Waconia is 74% below the U.S. rate per resident: 81% lower for persons crimes and 72% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 22.3% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
27
74% below the U.S. rate
72% below the Minnesota rate
down 22.3% in a year
Persons crimes
19
81% below the U.S. rate
74% below the Minnesota rate
up 4.2% in a year
Property crimes
28
72% below the U.S. rate
72% below the Minnesota rate
down 25.2% in a year
Social disorder
28
72% below the U.S. rate
59% below the Minnesota rate
down 4.5% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Waconia

Crime by type

Every crime type in Waconia is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Waconia for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Waconia

The middle half of Waconia residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 7 and 32; the typical (median) resident's is 21. The citywide figure (27) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Waconia, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5086.9%
  • 50–10013.1%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm35
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am16
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm33
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am18
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 22.3% in a year; across Minnesota it fell 1.8%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-22.3%MN -1.8%-10.6%MN -13.1%
Persons crimes+4.2%MN -1.1%+4.5%MN -2.7%
Property crimes-25.2%MN -1.9%-12.9%MN -14.8%
Social disorder-4.5%MN -0.6%-1.7%MN -7.4%

Change in expected crimes, with Minnesota as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Waconia against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

2,038 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Waconia; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Wailuku, HI15,421142
Newton, IA15,42175
Estelle, LA15,40470
Festus, MO15,40962
Iona, FL15,42954
Waconia, MN15,41427

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Waconia has a higher major-crime index than 3 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Minnetrista (7 mi), is 18% below Waconia's rate.

Orono13 mi52
Chaska9 mi35
Shorewood11 mi29
Waconia27
Watertown9 mi25
Chanhassen11 mi24

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Waconia

What are the most common crimes in Waconia?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 32 a year), other larceny (about 13 a year) and burglary (about 7 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 34% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Waconia's figures add up its 10 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Waconia has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 15,414. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Waconia, Minnesota." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/mn/waconia

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100