CrimeMetric

Crime in Bowling Green, Missouri

Major crime in Bowling Green is 59% below the U.S. rate per resident: 62% lower for persons crimes and 59% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 8.1% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
41
59% below the U.S. rate
63% below the Missouri rate
down 8.1% in a year
Persons crimes
38
62% below the U.S. rate
72% below the Missouri rate
down 5.0% in a year
Property crimes
41
59% below the U.S. rate
60% below the Missouri rate
down 8.7% in a year
Social disorder
100
about the U.S. rate
about the Missouri rate
down 6.3% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Bowling Green

Crime by type

Drugs and alcohol stands out most, at 1.9 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Bowling Green for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Bowling Green

Bowling Green is made up of 3 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 40; the middle half of residents live where it is between 34 and 40.

Map of Bowling Green, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5078.7%
  • 50–10021.3%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes and on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm43
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am39
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm35
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am43
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 8.1% in a year; across Missouri it fell 11.3%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-8.1%MO -11.3%-6.6%MO -12.6%
Persons crimes-5.0%MO -4.6%+5.9%MO -1.8%
Property crimes-8.7%MO -13.0%-9.1%MO -15.6%
Social disorder-6.3%MO -6.5%-0.4%MO -6.8%

Change in expected crimes, with Missouri as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Bowling Green against U.S. places with 2,000 to 5,000 residents

1,233 of the 1,761 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Bowling Green; the middle of the group is 58. The 9 nearest in population:

Lowell, NC3,834369
Wiggins, MS3,833134
Hardin, MT3,841126
Mayfair, CA3,835118
Bowling Green, MO3,83841

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Bowling Green has a higher major-crime index than 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Louisiana (10 mi), is 12% above Bowling Green's rate.

Hannibal28 mi101
Warrenton35 mi76
Palmyra36 mi46
Louisiana10 mi46
Troy28 mi43
Bowling Green41
Vandalia15 mi38

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Bowling Green

What are the most common crimes in Bowling Green?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 15 a year), aggravated assault (about 3 a year) and burglary (about 2 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 1.9 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Bowling Green's figures add up its 3 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Bowling Green has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 3,838. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Bowling Green, Missouri." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/mo/bowling-green

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100