CrimeMetric

Crime in Willard, Missouri

Major crime in Willard is 65% below the U.S. rate per resident: 32% lower for persons crimes and 72% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.4% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
35
65% below the U.S. rate
68% below the Missouri rate
down 7.4% in a year
Persons crimes
68
32% below the U.S. rate
49% below the Missouri rate
about flat in a year
Property crimes
28
72% below the U.S. rate
73% below the Missouri rate
down 10.5% in a year
Social disorder
40
61% below the U.S. rate
62% below the Missouri rate
down 3.9% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Willard

Crime by type

Every crime type in Willard is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Willard for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Willard

Willard is made up of 4 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 31; the middle half of residents live where it is between 20 and 36.

Map of Willard, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5094.1%
  • 50–1000.0%
  • 100–2005.9%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm36
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am35
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm35
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am33
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.4% in a year; across Missouri it fell 11.3%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.4%MO -11.3%-6.0%MO -12.6%
Persons crimes-0.9%MO -4.6%+5.5%MO -1.8%
Property crimes-10.5%MO -13.0%-12.2%MO -15.6%
Social disorder-3.9%MO -6.5%-1.4%MO -6.8%

Change in expected crimes, with Missouri as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Willard against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

1,754 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Willard; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Willard has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Springfield (10 mi), is 7.7 times Willard's rate.

Springfield10 mi272
Marshfield28 mi130
Bolivar22 mi82
Aurora28 mi66
Ozark22 mi41
Republic12 mi40
Willard35

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Willard

What are the most common crimes in Willard?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are aggravated assault (about 16 a year), other larceny (about 12 a year) and burglary (about 6 a year). Compared with the U.S., aggravated assault stands out most: 16% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Willard's figures add up its 4 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Willard has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 8,373. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Willard, Missouri." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/mo/willard

Use these numbers in your product

Any U.S. address by API or MCP, free for 10,000 lookups a month.

Get a free API key

Nearest cities we publish

Major-crime index, U.S. = 100