CrimeMetric

Crime in Bolivar, Missouri

Major crime in Bolivar is 18% below the U.S. rate per resident: 53% lower for persons crimes and 10% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 8.4% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
82
18% below the U.S. rate
25% below the Missouri rate
down 8.4% in a year
Persons crimes
47
53% below the U.S. rate
64% below the Missouri rate
down 5.5% in a year
Property crimes
90
10% below the U.S. rate
14% below the Missouri rate
down 8.8% in a year
Social disorder
124
24% above the U.S. rate
19% above the Missouri rate
down 5.0% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Bolivar

Crime by type

Intimidation and simple assault stand out most, at about 1.8 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Bolivar for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Bolivar

The middle half of Bolivar residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 30 and 164; the typical (median) resident's is 43. The citywide figure (82) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Bolivar, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5062.6%
  • 50–1006.2%
  • 100–20031.2%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm92
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am75
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm80
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am71
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 8.4% in a year; across Missouri it fell 11.3%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-8.4%MO -11.3%-9.0%MO -12.6%
Persons crimes-5.5%MO -4.6%+5.4%MO -1.8%
Property crimes-8.8%MO -13.0%-10.6%MO -15.6%
Social disorder-5.0%MO -6.5%+1.9%MO -6.8%

Change in expected crimes, with Missouri as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Bolivar against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

925 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Bolivar; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Scottdale, GA11,908282
Webster, TX11,917262
Reading, OH11,913129
Anderson, CA11,905115
Bolivar, MO11,92482

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Bolivar has a higher major-crime index than 5 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Buffalo (18 mi), is 61% below Bolivar's rate.

Springfield30 mi272
Marshfield34 mi130
Bolivar82
Republic34 mi40
Stockton21 mi36
Willard22 mi35
Buffalo18 mi32

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Bolivar

What are the most common crimes in Bolivar?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 92 a year), burglary (about 21 a year) and shoplifting (about 17 a year). Compared with the U.S., intimidation stands out most: 1.8 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Bolivar's figures add up its 7 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Bolivar's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 11,924. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Bolivar, Missouri." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/mo/bolivar

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100