CrimeMetric

Crime in Valdese, North Carolina

Major crime in Valdese is 18% above the U.S. rate per resident: 34% lower for persons crimes and 29% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 6.2% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
118
18% above the U.S. rate
about the North Carolina rate
down 6.2% in a year
Persons crimes
66
34% below the U.S. rate
34% below the North Carolina rate
up 1.9% in a year
Property crimes
129
29% above the U.S. rate
12% above the North Carolina rate
down 7.0% in a year
Social disorder
129
29% above the U.S. rate
6% above the North Carolina rate
down 1.1% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Valdese

Crime by type

Other larceny stands out most, at 2.5 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Valdese for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Valdese

Valdese is made up of 4 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 105; the middle half of residents live where it is between 70 and 138.

Map of Valdese, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–500.0%
  • 50–10027.8%
  • 100–20072.2%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm56
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am209
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm51
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am161
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 6.2% in a year; across North Carolina it fell 9.0%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-6.2%NC -9.0%-15.6%NC -9.2%
Persons crimes+1.9%NC -4.5%-1.5%NC +2.7%
Property crimes-7.0%NC -9.9%-17.2%NC -11.5%
Social disorder-1.1%NC -6.8%-9.9%NC -3.7%

Change in expected crimes, with North Carolina as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Valdese against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

416 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Valdese; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Valdese, NC5,215118
Erda, UT5,21372
Durham, CA5,21949

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Valdese has a higher major-crime index than 3 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Sawmills (6 mi), is 54% below Valdese's rate.

Long View10 mi187
Lenoir11 mi171
Hickory13 mi148
Conover19 mi133
Morganton7 mi128
Valdese118
Sawmills6 mi55

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Valdese

What are the most common crimes in Valdese?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 65 a year), burglary (about 16 a year) and aggravated assault (about 8 a year). Compared with the U.S., other larceny stands out most: 2.5 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Valdese's figures add up its 4 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Valdese has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 5,215. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Valdese, North Carolina." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/nc/valdese

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100