CrimeMetric

Crime in Wilmington, North Carolina

Major crime in Wilmington is 2.0 times the U.S. rate per resident: 23% higher for persons crimes and 2.1 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 4.8% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
198
2.0 times the U.S. rate
1.8 times the North Carolina rate
down 4.8% in a year
Persons crimes
123
23% above the U.S. rate
24% above the North Carolina rate
down 7.8% in a year
Property crimes
215
2.1 times the U.S. rate
1.9 times the North Carolina rate
down 4.4% in a year
Social disorder
200
2.0 times the U.S. rate
1.6 times the North Carolina rate
down 5.6% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Drugs and alcohol stands out most, at 3.4 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Wilmington for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Property crimes

Shoplifting2591,042
Burglary212439

How crime varies across Wilmington

The middle half of Wilmington residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 63 and 229; the typical (median) resident's is 149. The citywide figure (198) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Wilmington, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5019.3%
  • 50–10013.0%
  • 100–20035.3%
  • 200–40020.1%
  • 400+12.3%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekend daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm199
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am189
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm212
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am204
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 4.8% in a year; across North Carolina it fell 9.0%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-4.8%NC -9.0%-8.4%NC -9.2%
Persons crimes-7.8%NC -4.5%+2.9%NC +2.7%
Property crimes-4.4%NC -9.9%-9.8%NC -11.5%
Social disorder-5.6%NC -6.8%-3.0%NC -3.7%

Change in expected crimes, with North Carolina as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Wilmington against U.S. places with 100,000 to 250,000 residents

31 of the 268 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Wilmington; the middle of the group is 109. The 9 nearest in population:

Wilmington, NC126,847198
Arvada, CO126,121134
High Point, NC126,191129
Allentown, PA126,89395
Odessa, TX125,38477
Nampa, ID127,04848
Brandon, FL125,60638

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Wilmington has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Kings Grant (4 mi), is 63% below Wilmington's rate.

Wilmington198
Leland7 mi66
Ogden7 mi29

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Wilmington

What are the most common crimes in Wilmington?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 1,114 a year), shoplifting (about 1,042 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 933 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 3.4 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Wilmington's figures add up its 89 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Wilmington's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 70.6% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 126,847. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Wilmington, North Carolina." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/nc/wilmington

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100