Crime in Brandon, Florida
Major crime in Brandon is 62% below the U.S. rate per resident: 53% lower for persons crimes and 64% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 15.1% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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No crime type in Brandon is more than 10% above the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Brandon for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Brandon
The middle half of Brandon residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 16 and 37; the typical (median) resident's is 25. The citywide figure (38) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5079.2%
- 50–10015.5%
- 100–2002.7%
- 200–4002.7%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weeknights
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 15.1% in a year; across Florida it fell 7.8%
Change in expected crimes, with Florida as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Brandon against U.S. places with 100,000 to 250,000 residents
257 of the 268 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Brandon; the middle of the group is 109. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Brandon has a higher major-crime index than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Mango (4 mi), is 16% above Brandon's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Brandon
What are the most common crimes in Brandon?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 218 a year), other larceny (about 213 a year) and aggravated assault (about 147 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 6% above the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Brandon's figures add up its 64 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Brandon has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 33.6% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 125,606. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Brandon, Florida." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/fl/brandon
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Get a free API keyNearest cities we publish
Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Mango4 mi44
- Palm River-Clair Mel5 mi34
- Seffner5 mi27
- East Lake-Orient Park7 mi50
- Thonotosassa8 mi33
- Gibsonton8 mi30
- Temple Terrace9 mi124
- Tampa10 mi66