Crime in Minot, North Dakota
Major crime in Minot is 38% below the U.S. rate per resident: 13% lower for persons crimes and 43% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 18.8% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Rape / sexual assault stands out most, at 2.1 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Minot for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Minot
The middle half of Minot residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 30 and 65; the typical (median) resident's is 51. The citywide figure (62) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5049.0%
- 50–10037.8%
- 100–2008.4%
- 200–4004.8%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest at night
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 18.8% in a year; across North Dakota it fell 15.3%
Change in expected crimes, with North Dakota as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Minot against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents
602 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Minot; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Minot has a higher major-crime index than 3 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Minot AFB (13 mi), is 77% below Minot's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Minot
What are the most common crimes in Minot?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 129 a year), other larceny (about 103 a year) and aggravated assault (about 87 a year). Compared with the U.S., rape / sexual assault stands out most: 2.1 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Minot's figures add up its 36 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Minot's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- 42.6% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 47,706. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Minot, North Dakota." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/nd/minot
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Minot AFB13 mi15
- Rugby60 mi39
- Beulah70 mi40
- Watford City96 mi128
- Mandan100 mi117
- Bismarck100 mi105
- Williston108 mi95
- Devils Lake113 mi106