Crime in Minot AFB, North Dakota
Major crime in Minot AFB is 86% below the U.S. rate per resident: 64% lower for persons crimes and 90% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 8.4% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Drugs and alcohol stands out most, at 48% above the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Minot AFB for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Social disorder
How crime varies across Minot AFB
The middle half of Minot AFB residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 12 and 15; the typical (median) resident's is 13.
- 0–50100.0%
- 50–1000.0%
- 100–2000.0%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on Friday and Saturday nights
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 8.4% in a year; across North Dakota it fell 15.3%
Change in expected crimes, with North Dakota as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Minot AFB against U.S. places with 2,000 to 5,000 residents
1,755 of the 1,761 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Minot AFB; the middle of the group is 58. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Minot AFB has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Minot (13 mi), is 4.3 times Minot AFB's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Minot AFB
What are the most common crimes in Minot AFB?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are aggravated assault (about 4 a year), other larceny (about 3 a year) and motor vehicle theft (about 2 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 48% above the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Minot AFB's figures add up its 5 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Minot AFB has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 4,758. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Minot AFB, North Dakota." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/nd/minot-afb
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Minot13 mi62
- Rugby61 mi39
- Beulah82 mi40
- Watford City99 mi128
- Williston108 mi95
- Mandan113 mi117
- Bismarck114 mi105
- Devils Lake116 mi106