CrimeMetric

Crime in Stafford, New Jersey

Updated ·Vorp Labs

The model puts major crime in Stafford at 61% below the U.S. rate per resident: 79% lower for persons crimes and 57% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 11.0% from a year earlier.

Where these numbers come from

The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Stafford's 17 census block groups for 31,250 residents. How New Jersey residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 79.1%, summary counts only for 14.7% and estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 6.2% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method

Why other sites show different numbers for Stafford:
  • Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
  • Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
  • Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Stafford.
  • Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Major crime
6.7
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 39: 61% below the U.S. rate
50% below the New Jersey rate
down 11.0% in a year
Persons crimes
0.6
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 21: 79% below the U.S. rate
65% below the New Jersey rate
down 5.5% in a year
Property crimes
6.1
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 43: 57% below the U.S. rate
47% below the New Jersey rate
down 11.5% in a year
Social disorder
7.7
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 33: 67% below the U.S. rate
40% below the New Jersey rate
down 3.9% in a year

Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this

How crime varies across Stafford

Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 9 and 51.

Map of Stafford, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Pale gray: under 100 residents. Tap one to compare.
  • 0–5071.1%
  • 50–10015.4%
  • 100–20013.5%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

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Crime by type

Every crime type in Stafford is near or below the U.S. rate

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year
When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm42
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am40
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm39
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am27
Trend and outlook

Expected major crime fell 11.0% in a year; across New Jersey it fell 10.2%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-11.0%NJ -10.2%-8.2%NJ -11.5%
Persons crimes-5.5%NJ -7.9%+6.2%NJ -1.4%
Property crimes-11.5%NJ -10.5%-9.7%NJ -13.1%
Social disorder-3.9%NJ -5.3%+0.1%NJ -4.7%

Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; New Jersey in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.

Similar-size places

Stafford against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

864 of the 1,120 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Stafford's, and 129 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 73. The 9 nearest in population:

Danville, IL31,190325
Paragould, AR31,139202
Ridley, PA31,135103
Gaines, MI31,15653
Stafford, NJ31,25039
Saratoga, CA31,38832

U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.

Nearby places

Stafford's major-crime index is higher than 3, lower than 3 and within 15% of 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The closest, Beach Haven West (4 mi), is 17% below Stafford's rate.

U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.

Questions about crime in Stafford

Is Stafford safe?

Stafford's major-crime index is 39, 61% below the U.S. rate per resident and lower than 69% of the 364 other New Jersey places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 79% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 57% below the U.S. rate.

What is the crime rate in Stafford?

The model expects about 210 major crimes a year in Stafford, about 6.7 per 1,000 residents, 61% below the U.S. rate.

Is crime going up or down in Stafford?

Expected major crimes in Stafford are down 11.0% from a year earlier; across New Jersey they're down 10.2%.

What are the most common crimes in Stafford?

By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are shoplifting (about 104 a year), other larceny (about 59 a year) and aggravated assault (about 17 a year).

Are car break-ins common in Stafford?

The model expects about 12 thefts from vehicles a year in Stafford, 86% below the U.S. rate per resident.

Are car thefts common in Stafford?

The model expects about 7 motor vehicle thefts a year in Stafford, 86% below the U.S. rate per resident.

Is Stafford safe at night?

The model's major-crime index is 40 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 42 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.

Is crime in Stafford higher than the New Jersey average?

Stafford's major-crime index is 39, 50% below the New Jersey rate per resident. New Jersey as a whole is 78, where 100 is the U.S. rate.

How does crime in Stafford compare with Beach Haven West?

Beach Haven West, 4 miles away, has a major-crime index of 32, 17% below Stafford's rate per resident. Stafford's is 39.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Stafford's figures add up its 17 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Stafford has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 31,250. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Stafford, New Jersey." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/nj/stafford

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100