CrimeMetric

Crime in Warren, New Jersey

Updated ·Vorp Labs

The model puts major crime in Warren at 64% below the U.S. rate per resident: 81% lower for persons crimes and 60% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are up 3.8% from a year earlier.

Where these numbers come from

The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Warren's 7 census block groups for 18,348 residents. How New Jersey residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 79.1%, summary counts only for 14.7% and estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 6.2% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method

Why other sites show different numbers for Warren:
  • Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
  • Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
  • Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Warren.
  • Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Major crime
6.2
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 36: 64% below the U.S. rate
54% below the New Jersey rate
up 3.8% in a year
Persons crimes
0.6
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 19: 81% below the U.S. rate
68% below the New Jersey rate
down 2.8% in a year
Property crimes
5.6
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 40: 60% below the U.S. rate
51% below the New Jersey rate
up 4.5% in a year
Social disorder
3.1
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 14: 87% below the U.S. rate
76% below the New Jersey rate
up 11.9% in a year

Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this

How crime varies across Warren

Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 28 and 48.

Map of Warren, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Pale gray: under 100 residents. Tap one to compare.
  • 0–5085.5%
  • 50–10014.5%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

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Crime by type

Every crime type in Warren is near or below the U.S. rate

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year
When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm48
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am23
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm39
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am28
Trend and outlook

Expected major crime rose 3.8% in a year; across New Jersey it fell 10.2%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime+3.8%NJ -10.2%-9.2%NJ -11.5%
Persons crimes-2.8%NJ -7.9%+5.1%NJ -1.4%
Property crimes+4.5%NJ -10.5%-10.8%NJ -13.1%
Social disorder+11.9%NJ -5.3%-1.2%NJ -4.7%

Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; New Jersey in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.

Similar-size places

Warren against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

1,893 of the 2,480 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Warren's, and 277 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 67. The 9 nearest in population:

Brenham, TX18,349117
Bay City, TX18,373107
Coalinga, CA18,32861
Colonia, NJ18,31346
Warren, NJ18,34836

U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.

Nearby places

Warren's major-crime index is higher than 1, lower than 6 and within 15% of 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The closest, Martinsville (4 mi), is about Warren's rate.

U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.

Questions about crime in Warren

Is Warren safe?

Warren's major-crime index is 36, 64% below the U.S. rate per resident and lower than 72% of the 364 other New Jersey places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 81% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 60% below the U.S. rate.

What is the crime rate in Warren?

The model expects about 114 major crimes a year in Warren, about 6.2 per 1,000 residents, 64% below the U.S. rate.

Is crime going up or down in Warren?

Expected major crimes in Warren are up 3.8% from a year earlier; across New Jersey they're down 10.2%.

What are the most common crimes in Warren?

By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are other larceny (about 48 a year), burglary (about 24 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 16 a year).

Are car break-ins common in Warren?

The model expects about 16 thefts from vehicles a year in Warren, 68% below the U.S. rate per resident.

Are car thefts common in Warren?

The model expects about 9 motor vehicle thefts a year in Warren, 70% below the U.S. rate per resident.

Is Warren safe at night?

The model's major-crime index is 28 on Friday and Saturday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 48 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.

Is crime in Warren higher than the New Jersey average?

Warren's major-crime index is 36, 54% below the New Jersey rate per resident. New Jersey as a whole is 78, where 100 is the U.S. rate.

How does crime in Warren compare with Martinsville?

Martinsville, 4 miles away, has a major-crime index of 36, about Warren's rate per resident. Warren's is 36.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Warren's figures add up its 7 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Warren has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 18,348. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Warren, New Jersey." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/nj/warren

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100