CrimeMetric

Crime in Arlington, New York

Major crime in Arlington is 1.5 times the U.S. rate per resident: 18% higher for persons crimes and 1.6 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 15.6% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
152
1.5 times the U.S. rate
43% above the New York rate
down 15.6% in a year
Persons crimes
118
18% above the U.S. rate
8% above the New York rate
down 18.7% in a year
Property crimes
160
1.6 times the U.S. rate
1.5 times the New York rate
down 15.1% in a year
Social disorder
152
1.5 times the U.S. rate
46% above the New York rate
down 11.1% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Arlington

Crime by type

Intimidation stands out most, at 3.0 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Arlington for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Arlington

Arlington is made up of 3 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 77; the middle half of residents live where it is between 71 and 268.

Map of Arlington, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–500.0%
  • 50–10059.3%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–40040.7%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm189
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am116
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm170
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am108
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 15.6% in a year; across New York it fell 8.7%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-15.6%NY -8.7%-14.1%NY -14.4%
Persons crimes-18.7%NY -7.0%-4.1%NY -7.2%
Property crimes-15.1%NY -9.0%-15.7%NY -16.1%
Social disorder-11.1%NY -5.2%-5.9%NY -6.7%

Change in expected crimes, with New York as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Arlington against U.S. places with 2,000 to 5,000 residents

171 of the 1,761 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Arlington; the middle of the group is 58. The 9 nearest in population:

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Arlington has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Poughkeepsie (1 mi), is 43% below Arlington's rate.

Balmville13 mi262
Arlington152
Fairview2 mi104
Highland4 mi51
Beacon14 mi39
Marlboro8 mi20

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Arlington

What are the most common crimes in Arlington?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 34 a year), shoplifting (about 18 a year) and aggravated assault (about 9 a year). Compared with the U.S., intimidation stands out most: 3.0 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Arlington's figures add up its 3 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Arlington has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 40.7% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 3,029. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Arlington, New York." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ny/arlington

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100