CrimeMetric

Crime in Warsaw, New York

Major crime in Warsaw is 62% below the U.S. rate per resident: 58% lower for persons crimes and 63% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.6% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
38
62% below the U.S. rate
65% below the New York rate
down 7.6% in a year
Persons crimes
42
58% below the U.S. rate
62% below the New York rate
down 5.7% in a year
Property crimes
37
63% below the U.S. rate
65% below the New York rate
down 8.1% in a year
Social disorder
41
59% below the U.S. rate
61% below the New York rate
down 5.6% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Warsaw

Crime by type

Every crime type in Warsaw is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Warsaw for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Warsaw

Warsaw is made up of 3 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 39; the middle half of residents live where it is between 30 and 46.

Map of Warsaw, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–50100.0%
  • 50–1000.0%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Lowest on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm38
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am38
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm38
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am35
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.6% in a year; across New York it fell 8.7%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.6%NY -8.7%-15.2%NY -14.4%
Persons crimes-5.7%NY -7.0%-4.3%NY -7.2%
Property crimes-8.1%NY -9.0%-18.0%NY -16.1%
Social disorder-5.6%NY -5.2%-8.6%NY -6.7%

Change in expected crimes, with New York as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Warsaw against U.S. places with 2,000 to 5,000 residents

1,296 of the 1,761 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Warsaw; the middle of the group is 58. The 9 nearest in population:

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Warsaw has a higher major-crime index than 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Perry (7 mi), is 32% above Warsaw's rate.

Batavia18 mi131
Orchard Park31 mi103
Lancaster29 mi70
Dansville26 mi70
Le Roy18 mi61
Perry7 mi50
Warsaw38
Geneseo17 mi37

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Warsaw

What are the most common crimes in Warsaw?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 9 a year), shoplifting (about 3 a year) and aggravated assault (about 3 a year). Compared with the U.S., rape / sexual assault stands out most: 9% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Warsaw's figures add up its 3 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Warsaw has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 3,035. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Warsaw, New York." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ny/warsaw

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100