Crime in Bethlehem, New York
Updated ·Vorp Labs
The model puts major crime in Bethlehem at 40% below the U.S. rate per resident: 89% lower for persons crimes and 29% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 8.2% from a year earlier.
- Modeled from FBI crime data for the police agencies serving Bethlehem. Where an agency didn't report to the FBI, its totals are estimated from its past reports or similar agencies.
- The model estimates about 10.4 major crimes per 1,000 residents a year (0.4 violent, 10.0 property), against 17.2 for the U.S.
- By the model's major-crime rate per resident, Bethlehem is higher than 47% of the 482 other New York places and lower than 49% of the 8,446 other places nationwide on CrimeMetric.
Where these numbers come from
The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Bethlehem's 24 census block groups for 36,028 residents. How New York residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 74.9%, summary counts only for 17.9% and estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 7.2% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method
- Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
- Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
- Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Bethlehem.
- Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this
How crime varies across Bethlehem
Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 21 and 58.
- 0–5069.2%
- 50–10014.7%
- 100–20011.6%
- 200–4002.4%
- 400+2.1%
Check an address in Bethlehem
Shoplifting stands out most, at 46% above the U.S. rate
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
Highest on weekday daytimes
100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.
Expected major crime fell 8.2% in a year; across New York it fell 8.7%
Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; New York in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.
Bethlehem against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents
592 of the 1,120 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Bethlehem's, and 174 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 73. The 9 nearest in population:
U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.
Bethlehem's major-crime index is lower than 5 and within 15% of 3 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The closest, Albany (4 mi), is 3.8 times Bethlehem's rate.
U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.
Questions about crime in Bethlehem
Is Bethlehem safe?
Bethlehem's major-crime index is 60, 40% below the U.S. rate per resident and higher than 47% of the 482 other New York places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 89% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 29% below the U.S. rate.
What is the crime rate in Bethlehem?
The model expects about 373 major crimes a year in Bethlehem, about 10.4 per 1,000 residents, 40% below the U.S. rate.
Is crime going up or down in Bethlehem?
Expected major crimes in Bethlehem are down 8.2% from a year earlier; across New York they're down 8.7%.
What are the most common crimes in Bethlehem?
By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are shoplifting (about 168 a year), other larceny (about 127 a year) and burglary (about 39 a year).
Are car break-ins common in Bethlehem?
The model expects about 17 thefts from vehicles a year in Bethlehem, 82% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Are car thefts common in Bethlehem?
The model expects about 10 motor vehicle thefts a year in Bethlehem, 83% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Is Bethlehem safe at night?
The model's major-crime index is 51 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 72 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.
Is crime in Bethlehem higher than the New York average?
Bethlehem's major-crime index is 60, 43% below the New York rate per resident. New York as a whole is 106, where 100 is the U.S. rate.
How does crime in Bethlehem compare with Albany?
Albany, 4 miles away, has a major-crime index of 229, 3.8 times Bethlehem's rate per resident. Bethlehem's is 60.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Bethlehem's figures add up its 24 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Bethlehem has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 36,028. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Bethlehem, New York." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/ny/bethlehem
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
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