CrimeMetric

Crime in Cicero, New York

Updated ·Vorp Labs

The model puts major crime in Cicero at 38% below the U.S. rate per resident: 74% lower for persons crimes and 30% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 45.9% from a year earlier.

Where these numbers come from

The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Cicero's 24 census block groups for 30,776 residents. How New York residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 74.9%, summary counts only for 17.9% and estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 7.2% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method

Why other sites show different numbers for Cicero:
  • Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
  • Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
  • Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Cicero.
  • Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Major crime
10.7
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 62: 38% below the U.S. rate
42% below the New York rate
down 45.9% in a year
Persons crimes
0.8
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 26: 74% below the U.S. rate
77% below the New York rate
down 23.5% in a year
Property crimes
9.9
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 70: 30% below the U.S. rate
34% below the New York rate
down 47.1% in a year
Social disorder
19.6
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 85: 15% below the U.S. rate
19% below the New York rate
down 14.5% in a year

Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this

How crime varies across Cicero

Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 25 and 51.

Map of Cicero, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Pale gray: under 100 residents. Tap one to compare.
  • 0–5071.1%
  • 50–10020.2%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4006.9%
  • 400+1.8%

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Crime by type

Vandalism stands out most, at 39% above the U.S. rate

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year
When it happens

About the same at every time of week

100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm58
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am67
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm66
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am59
Trend and outlook

Expected major crime fell 45.9% in a year; across New York it fell 8.7%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-45.9%NY -8.7%-16.8%NY -14.4%
Persons crimes-23.5%NY -7.0%-4.4%NY -7.2%
Property crimes-47.1%NY -9.0%-17.8%NY -16.1%
Social disorder-14.5%NY -5.2%-10.1%NY -6.7%

Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; New York in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.

Similar-size places

Cicero against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

568 of the 1,120 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Cicero's, and 176 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 73. The 9 nearest in population:

Holladay, UT30,764123
Slidell, LA30,81185
Cicero, NY30,77662
Orchards, WA30,83849
Johnston, RI30,79849

U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.

Nearby places

Cicero's major-crime index is higher than 4 and lower than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The closest, North Syracuse (4 mi), is 36% above Cicero's rate.

Lyncourt7 mi227
Cicero62
Galeville8 mi43
Salina7 mi37
Mattydale6 mi37
Clay5 mi35

U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.

Questions about crime in Cicero

Is Cicero safe?

Cicero's major-crime index is 62, 38% below the U.S. rate per resident and higher than 50% of the 482 other New York places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 74% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 30% below the U.S. rate.

What is the crime rate in Cicero?

The model expects about 329 major crimes a year in Cicero, about 10.7 per 1,000 residents, 38% below the U.S. rate.

Is crime going up or down in Cicero?

Expected major crimes in Cicero are down 45.9% from a year earlier; across New York they're down 8.7%.

What are the most common crimes in Cicero?

By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are other larceny (about 151 a year), shoplifting (about 74 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 28 a year).

Are car break-ins common in Cicero?

The model expects about 28 thefts from vehicles a year in Cicero, 65% below the U.S. rate per resident.

Are car thefts common in Cicero?

The model expects about 23 motor vehicle thefts a year in Cicero, 53% below the U.S. rate per resident.

Is Cicero safe at night?

The model's major-crime index is 67 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 66 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.

Is crime in Cicero higher than the New York average?

Cicero's major-crime index is 62, 42% below the New York rate per resident. New York as a whole is 106, where 100 is the U.S. rate.

How does crime in Cicero compare with North Syracuse?

North Syracuse, 4 miles away, has a major-crime index of 85, 36% above Cicero's rate per resident. Cicero's is 62.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Cicero's figures add up its 24 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Cicero has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 30,776. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Cicero, New York." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/ny/cicero

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100