Crime in Clay, New York
Updated ·Vorp Labs
The model puts major crime in Clay at 65% below the U.S. rate per resident: 76% lower for persons crimes and 63% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 11.9% from a year earlier.
- Modeled from FBI crime data for the police agencies serving Clay. Where an agency didn't report to the FBI, its totals are estimated from its past reports or similar agencies.
- The model estimates about 6.0 major crimes per 1,000 residents a year (0.8 violent, 5.2 property), against 17.2 for the U.S.
- By the model's major-crime rate per resident, Clay is lower than 70% of the 482 other New York places and 78% of the 8,446 other places nationwide on CrimeMetric.
Where these numbers come from
The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Clay's 48 census block groups for 59,418 residents. How New York residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 74.9%, summary counts only for 17.9% and estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 7.2% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method
- Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
- Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
- Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Clay.
- Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this
How crime varies across Clay
Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 15 and 35.
- 0–5079.7%
- 50–10016.3%
- 100–2004.0%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Check an address in Clay
Every crime type in Clay is near or below the U.S. rate
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
Highest on weeknights
100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.
Expected major crime fell 11.9% in a year; across New York it fell 8.7%
Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; New York in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.
Clay against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents
542 of the 580 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Clay's, and 23 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 91. The 9 nearest in population:
U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.
Clay's major-crime index is higher than 1, lower than 5 and within 15% of 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The closest, North Syracuse (3 mi), is 2.4 times Clay's rate.
U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.
Questions about crime in Clay
Is Clay safe?
Clay's major-crime index is 35, 65% below the U.S. rate per resident and lower than 70% of the 482 other New York places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 76% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 63% below the U.S. rate.
What is the crime rate in Clay?
The model expects about 357 major crimes a year in Clay, about 6.0 per 1,000 residents, 65% below the U.S. rate.
Is crime going up or down in Clay?
Expected major crimes in Clay are down 11.9% from a year earlier; across New York they're down 8.7%.
What are the most common crimes in Clay?
By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are other larceny (about 136 a year), shoplifting (about 70 a year) and motor vehicle theft (about 43 a year).
Are car break-ins common in Clay?
The model expects about 28 thefts from vehicles a year in Clay, 82% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Are car thefts common in Clay?
The model expects about 43 motor vehicle thefts a year in Clay, 54% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Is Clay safe at night?
The model's major-crime index is 40 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 35 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.
Is crime in Clay higher than the New York average?
Clay's major-crime index is 35, 67% below the New York rate per resident. New York as a whole is 106, where 100 is the U.S. rate.
How does crime in Clay compare with North Syracuse?
North Syracuse, 3 miles away, has a major-crime index of 85, 2.4 times Clay's rate per resident. Clay's is 35.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Clay's figures add up its 48 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Clay has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 59,418. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Clay, New York." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/ny/clay
Quote this page's aggregate figures with a link to it. Data terms
Use these numbers in your product
Any U.S. address by API or MCP, free for 10,000 lookups a month.
Get a free API keyNearest cities we publish
Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- North Syracuse3 mi85
- Salina4 mi37
- Galeville4 mi43
- Mattydale5 mi37
- Lakeland5 mi241
- Cicero5 mi62
- Lyncourt6 mi227
- Village Green6 mi28