CrimeMetric

Crime in Locust Valley, New York

Major crime in Locust Valley is 46% below the U.S. rate per resident: 63% lower for persons crimes and 43% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.2% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
54
46% below the U.S. rate
50% below the New York rate
down 7.2% in a year
Persons crimes
37
63% below the U.S. rate
66% below the New York rate
down 5.5% in a year
Property crimes
58
43% below the U.S. rate
46% below the New York rate
down 7.5% in a year
Social disorder
38
62% below the U.S. rate
63% below the New York rate
down 5.7% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Locust Valley

Crime by type

Every crime type in Locust Valley is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Locust Valley for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Locust Valley

Locust Valley is made up of 3 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 36; the middle half of residents live where it is between 23 and 36.

Map of Locust Valley, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5080.9%
  • 50–1000.0%
  • 100–20019.1%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm49
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am61
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm53
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am52
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.2% in a year; across New York it fell 8.7%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.2%NY -8.7%-15.1%NY -14.4%
Persons crimes-5.5%NY -7.0%-5.5%NY -7.2%
Property crimes-7.5%NY -9.0%-16.5%NY -16.1%
Social disorder-5.7%NY -5.2%-7.1%NY -6.7%

Change in expected crimes, with New York as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Locust Valley against U.S. places with 2,000 to 5,000 residents

960 of the 1,761 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Locust Valley; the middle of the group is 58. The 9 nearest in population:

Tolono, IL4,17656
Locust Valley, NY4,17854
Oconto, WI4,17936

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Locust Valley has a higher major-crime index than 6 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Glen Head (3 mi), is 15% above Locust Valley's rate.

Glen Head3 mi62
Locust Valley54
Sea Cliff3 mi52
Bayville3 mi31

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Locust Valley

What are the most common crimes in Locust Valley?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 14 a year), shoplifting (about 11 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 6 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 17% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Locust Valley's figures add up its 3 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Locust Valley has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 4,178. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Locust Valley, New York." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ny/locust-valley

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100