CrimeMetric

Crime in Oyster Bay, New York

Major crime in Oyster Bay is 31% below the U.S. rate per resident: 45% lower for persons crimes and 28% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.2% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
69
31% below the U.S. rate
35% below the New York rate
down 7.2% in a year
Persons crimes
55
45% below the U.S. rate
50% below the New York rate
down 5.5% in a year
Property crimes
72
28% below the U.S. rate
32% below the New York rate
down 7.4% in a year
Social disorder
54
46% below the U.S. rate
49% below the New York rate
down 5.5% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Oyster Bay

Crime by type

No crime type in Oyster Bay is more than 10% above the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Oyster Bay for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Oyster Bay

The middle half of Oyster Bay residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 33 and 75; the typical (median) resident's is 72.

Map of Oyster Bay, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5033.8%
  • 50–10053.2%
  • 100–20013.1%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm61
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am80
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm68
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am71
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.2% in a year; across New York it fell 8.7%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.2%NY -8.7%-14.7%NY -14.4%
Persons crimes-5.5%NY -7.0%-5.7%NY -7.2%
Property crimes-7.4%NY -9.0%-16.1%NY -16.1%
Social disorder-5.5%NY -5.2%-6.6%NY -6.7%

Change in expected crimes, with New York as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Oyster Bay against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

975 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Oyster Bay; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Moraine, OH7,359311
Humboldt, TN7,365100
Oyster Bay, NY7,35369
Scotia, NY7,36357

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Oyster Bay has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, East Norwich (1 mi), is 31% below Oyster Bay's rate.

Jericho6 mi81
Oyster Bay69
Glen Head5 mi62
Syosset4 mi61
Woodbury5 mi57
Bayville3 mi31

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Oyster Bay

What are the most common crimes in Oyster Bay?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 31 a year), shoplifting (about 25 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 13 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 7% above the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Oyster Bay's figures add up its 6 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Oyster Bay has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 7,353. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Oyster Bay, New York." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ny/oyster-bay

Use these numbers in your product

Any U.S. address by API or MCP, free for 10,000 lookups a month.

Get a free API key

Nearest cities we publish

Major-crime index, U.S. = 100