CrimeMetric

Crime in Middle Island, New York

Major crime in Middle Island is 54% below the U.S. rate per resident: 80% lower for persons crimes and 49% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 9.6% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
46
54% below the U.S. rate
57% below the New York rate
down 9.6% in a year
Persons crimes
20
80% below the U.S. rate
82% below the New York rate
down 11.2% in a year
Property crimes
51
49% below the U.S. rate
52% below the New York rate
down 9.5% in a year
Social disorder
35
65% below the U.S. rate
67% below the New York rate
down 5.6% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Middle Island

Crime by type

Every crime type in Middle Island is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Middle Island for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Middle Island

The middle half of Middle Island residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 26 and 54; the typical (median) resident's is 33. The citywide figure (46) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Middle Island, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5071.8%
  • 50–10020.4%
  • 100–2007.8%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm41
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am52
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm46
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am45
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 9.6% in a year; across New York it fell 8.7%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-9.6%NY -8.7%-13.0%NY -14.4%
Persons crimes-11.2%NY -7.0%-2.6%NY -7.2%
Property crimes-9.5%NY -9.0%-13.9%NY -16.1%
Social disorder-5.6%NY -5.2%-5.1%NY -6.7%

Change in expected crimes, with New York as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Middle Island against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

1,593 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Middle Island; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Toccoa, GA11,21292
Hondo, TX11,21265
Oatfield, OR11,21064
Middle Island, NY11,20646

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Middle Island has a higher major-crime index than 6 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Gordon Heights (2 mi), is 44% below Middle Island's rate.

Medford5 mi49
Middle Island46
Selden5 mi45
Yaphank4 mi44

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Middle Island

What are the most common crimes in Middle Island?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 31 a year), other larceny (about 30 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 11 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 13% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Middle Island's figures add up its 8 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Middle Island has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 11,206. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Middle Island, New York." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ny/middle-island

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100