CrimeMetric

Crime in Rocky Point, New York

Major crime in Rocky Point is 61% below the U.S. rate per resident: 83% lower for persons crimes and 56% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 9.6% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
39
61% below the U.S. rate
64% below the New York rate
down 9.6% in a year
Persons crimes
17
83% below the U.S. rate
85% below the New York rate
down 10.8% in a year
Property crimes
44
56% below the U.S. rate
59% below the New York rate
down 9.5% in a year
Social disorder
29
71% below the U.S. rate
72% below the New York rate
down 5.8% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Rocky Point

Crime by type

Every crime type in Rocky Point is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Rocky Point for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Rocky Point

The middle half of Rocky Point residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 14 and 42; the typical (median) resident's is 17. The citywide figure (39) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Rocky Point, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5085.2%
  • 50–1006.0%
  • 100–2008.8%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm35
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am44
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm39
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am38
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 9.6% in a year; across New York it fell 8.7%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-9.6%NY -8.7%-13.5%NY -14.4%
Persons crimes-10.8%NY -7.0%-3.6%NY -7.2%
Property crimes-9.5%NY -9.0%-14.4%NY -16.1%
Social disorder-5.8%NY -5.2%-5.8%NY -6.7%

Change in expected crimes, with New York as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Rocky Point against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

1,760 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Rocky Point; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Bastrop, TX13,594178
Leeds, AL13,580141
Henderson, TX13,574135
Lincoln, IL13,599129
Riverdale, GA13,555128
Kingston, PA13,56099
Rocky Point, NY13,57339

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Rocky Point has a higher major-crime index than 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Middle Island (5 mi), is 17% above Rocky Point's rate.

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Rocky Point

What are the most common crimes in Rocky Point?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 33 a year), other larceny (about 31 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 11 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 24% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Rocky Point's figures add up its 9 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Rocky Point has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 13,573. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Rocky Point, New York." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ny/rocky-point

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100