Crime in Orange Lake, New York
Major crime in Orange Lake is 7% below the U.S. rate per resident: 77% lower for persons crimes and 9% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are up 12.5% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Other larceny stands out most, at 2.0 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Orange Lake for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Orange Lake
The middle half of Orange Lake residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 56 and 113; the typical (median) resident's is 84.
- 0–5013.8%
- 50–10051.9%
- 100–20034.3%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weeknights
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime rose 12.5% in a year; across New York it fell 8.7%
Change in expected crimes, with New York as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Orange Lake against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents
619 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Orange Lake; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Orange Lake has a higher major-crime index than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Gardnertown (2 mi), is 2.1 times Orange Lake's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Orange Lake
What are the most common crimes in Orange Lake?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 100 a year), theft from vehicle (about 25 a year) and shoplifting (about 15 a year). Compared with the U.S., other larceny stands out most: 2.0 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Orange Lake's figures add up its 8 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Orange Lake has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 15.2% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 9,922. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Orange Lake, New York." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ny/orange-lake
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Gardnertown2 mi192
- Balmville4 mi262
- Newburgh4 mi131
- New Windsor5 mi50
- Walden5 mi27
- Vails Gate5 mi162
- Beacon7 mi39
- Marlboro8 mi20